With Election Day just a few sleeps away, James Bisson breaks down how chaotic the odds race has been since Kamala Harris and ...

Well over $500 million were bet on the 2020 election, and that number has surged in 2024. Just under two weeks out, more than ...

Kamala Harris ordered a review into several years' worth of intelligence briefings looking for possible gender bias, a new ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

Polls are more reliable in swing states, especially in the Sun Belt. Want to know who will win the 2024 presidential election? Flip a coin. The race is very likely to come down to seven key swing ...

Seven Senate races could be decided by 5 or fewer percentage points as Democrats and Republicans fight for control of Congress ' upper chamber on Election Day, November 5, according to the latest ...

On Wednesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the U.S. Senate. The model powering this forecast combines our polling averages for each Senate race with other quantitative and ...

According to 538's forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, control of the federal government is firmly up for grabs.

The polls in Arizona could hardly be closer. As of Oct. 24 at 2:30 p.m. Eastern, Trump leads Harris 48.6 percent to 46.7 percent in 538's polling average of the state.* While Trump's lead is ...

There have been 907 polls conducted by 141 pollsters regarding next month’s US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to data from aggregator FiveThirtyEight ... Their ...