That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

According to pollster Nate Silver 's forecast, Vice President Kamala Harris now has a 50 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to former President Donald Trump 's 49.6 percent. It also notes ...

Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.

Recent polling shows small gains among Harris and Trump in swing states, with an essentially tied race in Pennsylvania.

According to 538's forecasts for the White House, U.S. Senate and U.S. House, control of the federal government is firmly up for grabs.

Harris has had a small lead over Trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of July and she remains ahead - as shown in the chart below with the latest figures ...

Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Monday, Nov. 4, 2024. Presidential historian Allan ...

FiveThirtyEight ... swing state polls remain essentially tied, too. The most recent national polls also show a narrow Harris edge: She leads 49%-48% with likely voters in the latest HarrisX ...

Just before Election Day, national polls indicate a tight presidential race. How accurate are the polls, and when will we know who won?

Some Republican-led states say they will block the Justice Department's election monitors from going inside polling places on ...

The model is trending away from LEAN Trump into TOSSUP territory. Trump remains the favorite, and he wins in 62.2 percent of simulations. But that is a drop of 2.5 points since Friday and he has now ...

Follow all the developments in the race for the White House with the first results to be announced after polls close.