That's an average of just over five such games each week — this week there are nine: Ravens -7.5 at Dolphins Broncos -1.5 at Texans Chargers -10.5 at Titans Bears -2.5 at Bengals Colts -3 at Steelers 49ers -2.

In Week 9 of the NFL season, the model is shying away from picking the Broncos (6-2) over the Texans (3-4). Although Denver leads the AFC West and is riding a five-game winning streak, the Broncos are just 2-2 on the road this season.