The race between Trump and Harris is tight in key 2024 swing states, with polls showing a near tie in crucial Pennsylvania.
Essentially, he told me, FiveThirtyEight reflects one person’s approach to turning data into a probability. Markets are ...
The polls weren’t off that much in capturing a near-uniform swing in very close states. But they underestimated the Trump ...
Redfield and Wilton Strategies put Trump at 47 percent and Harris at 46 percent, after interviewing 540 likely voters, while ...
After 5 p.m. Eastern Time on Election Day, Americans will get their first look at exit polls, which could offer early intel ...
These two things are true about the presidential race: The polls currently show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump effectively tied. And close polls do not necessarily ...
Polls are almost always at least a bit off. Some of that is due to imperfect assumptions about what the likely voter ...
With hours to go before the polls close, forecasting models ... Others show an even tighter race: Split Ticket puts Ms ...
Trump briefly dipped to -145 after the first results came in at 4 p.m. Tuesday. But his odds quickly soared to -225 by 5 p.m.
ToplineVice President Kamala Harris inched ahead of former President Donald Trump by the narrowest of margins in both polling ...